{"id":4355,"date":"2025-02-28T08:57:42","date_gmt":"2025-02-28T04:57:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meteo974.fr\/?p=4355"},"modified":"2025-02-28T08:57:43","modified_gmt":"2025-02-28T04:57:43","slug":"zone-perturbee-n10-au-24-fevrier-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/meteo974.fr\/?p=4355","title":{"rendered":"Cyclone intense GARANCE le vendredi 28 f\u00e9vrier 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Cyclone intense GARANCE le vendredi 28 f\u00e9vrier 2025<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Derni\u00e8re mise \u00e0 jour : vendredi 28 f\u00e9vrier \u00e0 08h49 (heure de la R\u00e9union)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans un contexte tr\u00e8s chaud et humide et un oc\u00e9an particuli\u00e8rement chaud cet \u00e9t\u00e9 (autour de 29-30 degr\u00e9s en ce moment), GARANCE est d\u00e9sormais pass\u00e9e au stade de cyclone intense de cat\u00e9gorie 2, \u00e9voluant rapidement vers le stade de cyclone intense de cat\u00e9gorie 3. La R\u00e9union va alors \u00eatre impact\u00e9e de fa\u00e7on tr\u00e8s notable, plus particuli\u00e8rement vendredi matin t\u00f4t sur l’ouest et le nord-ouest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Trajectoire probable selon le CIMSS<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le niveau de cyclone tropical<\/strong> intense<\/strong> de cat\u00e9gorie 3 est atteint depuis ce jeudi soir, et vient d’\u00eatre r\u00e9trograd\u00e9 cat\u00e9gorie 2 ce vendredi matin, alors que le syst\u00e8me se situe d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 75 km au nord de la R\u00e9union<\/strong> (Saint-Denis) \u00e0 8h ce vendredi. La pression en son centre est de 957 hPa avec des vents moyens \u00e0 165 km\/h et des rafales \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 230 km\/h<\/strong>. Il a effectu\u00e9 son virage et se d\u00e9place vers le sud-sud-est \u00e0 15 km\/h pour le moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne va continuer sa route vers le sud ou sud-sud-est ces prochaines heures, impactant l’int\u00e9gralit\u00e9 de l’\u00eele intense.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il touchera le nord de la R\u00e9union de plein fouet en milieu de matin\u00e9e, entrant plus ou moins par Saint-Denis ou un peu \u00e0 l’ouest, redescendant ensuite vers Saint-Pierre d’ici le d\u00e9but d’apr\u00e8s-midi. Relativement prot\u00e9g\u00e9e par les reliefs, la c\u00f4te Ouest sera un peu moins expos\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Les conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques s’annoncent alors particuli\u00e8rement dangereuses sur l’int\u00e9gralit\u00e9 de l’\u00eele, davantage encore sur le nord et nord-est (secteur de Saint-Denis) ainsi que les hauts. Garance devrait toutefois rester en cat\u00e9gorie 2, ce qui reste \u00ab\u00a0intense\u00a0\u00bb en terme de cyclone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les vents pourraient alors d\u00e9passer 100 \u00e0 130 km\/h en moyenne avec des rafales le plus souvent de l’ordre de 140 \u00e0 180 km\/h ponctuellement sur les c\u00f4tes et dans les bas, localement 200 \u00e0 230 km\/h dans le secteur de Saint-Denis sur les zones expos\u00e9es \u00e0 haute altitude<\/strong> tel que le Ma\u00efdo ou la Fournaise. Il faudra en outre compter sur des pluies diluviennes g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9es, plus abondantes et intenses toutefois dans les hauts. Les quantit\u00e9s pourraient alors d\u00e9passer les 800 mm par endroits dans tous l’int\u00e9rieur de l’\u00eele.<\/strong> Ces chiffres donn\u00e9s \u00e0 titre d’information peuvent \u00e9voluer dans un sens ou dans l’autre lors des prochaines mises \u00e0 jour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Pr\u00e9visions du mod\u00e8les AROME : rafales de vent maxi et cumuls de pluie totaux<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La pr\u00e9vision s’affine \u00e0 l’approche du ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne, sans \u00eatre fiable \u00e0 100%. Quelques petits r\u00e9ajustements seront probables jusqu’\u00e0 la derni\u00e8re minute, que ce soit en terme d’intensit\u00e9, de trajectoire ou encore de chronologie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quoiqu’il en soit, une extr\u00eame prudence est recommand\u00e9e pour cette p\u00e9riode cyclonique potentiellement dangereuse. Suivez scrupuleusement les conseils des autorit\u00e9s.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Cat\u00e9gories<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

2025<\/a> | <\/span>Ciel<\/a> | <\/span>cyclone<\/a> | <\/span>d\u00e9cembre<\/a> | <\/span>Ete<\/a> | <\/span>f\u00e9vrier<\/a> | <\/span>Foudre<\/a> | <\/span>inondations<\/a> | <\/span>la R\u00e9union<\/a> | <\/span>mars<\/a> | <\/span>Oc\u00e9an Indien<\/a> | <\/span>Orage<\/a> | <\/span>Ravines<\/a> | <\/span>Saison<\/a><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le niveau de cyclone tropical intense de cat\u00e9gorie 3 est atteint depuis ce jeudi soir, et vient d’\u00eatre r\u00e9trograd\u00e9 cat\u00e9gorie…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4461,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"disabled","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,8,5],"tags":[93,69,12,94,90,96,82,15,44,97,52,78,99,91],"class_list":["post-4355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climat","category-meteo","category-ocean","tag-93","tag-ciel","tag-cyclone","tag-decembre","tag-ete-2","tag-fevrier","tag-foudre","tag-inondations","tag-la-reunion","tag-mars","tag-ocean-indien","tag-orage","tag-ravines","tag-saison"],"yoast_head":"\nCyclone intense GARANCE le vendredi 28 f\u00e9vrier 2025 - 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